Recent polls have given Democratic candidate Reuben Gallego an average lead of 10% over Trump-backed Kari Lake. Lake has recent baggage related to being an election denier in her loss in a race for governor. 

The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all recently changed their ratings from toss-up to leaning Democratic. Our limited resources are better spent in tighter races.

The reader may consider supporting Arizona congressional District 1 Democratic challenger Amish Shah versus incumbent Republican David Schweikert.   Recent polls indicate an even race, but race ratings are split between leaning Republican and a toss-up. Schweikert also has much more cash on hand at his disposal. Also, Arizona District 6 has similarities with District 1.

With the enigmatic Lauren Boebert leaving the district, it is unlikely that the Democrats will be able to flip this R+9 district that is rated as likely Republican. It is not a good investment of our limited resources.

Elissa Slotkin, a three-term US House Representative, is the Democratic nominee.  Mike Rogers is the GOP nominee.

The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all rate the race as leaning Democratic. The average of seven recent polls gives Slotkin a 6% lead. Slotkin should win rather easily, and our scarce resources are better used for closer races.

The Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections all rate this race as leaning Democratic. A July poll gives Mannion a 7% lead. Our limited resources might be better utilized in tighter races.