US Senate Races

Key Democratic Senate Incumbents

Montana: Jon Tester

Jon Tester is seeking his fourth term in the Senate. In 2018, he received 50.3% of the vote, defeating his Republican opponent by 4.5%. Tester is a centrist Democrat who has customized his positions on issues such as guns, energy, agriculture, border security, and defense to coexist with the political realities of Montana. His family has operated a farm in Montana for several generations, and he continues to operate that farm today. Montana is a very red state, as Republicans have carried the state in every presidential election since 1996--Trump had a 16% plurality in 2020.

 

Tester supports bipartisanship; “all of the above” energy policy, including carbon capture technology to protect Montana’s coal interests; veteran’s rights, including sponsoring a successful “burn pit” law; agriculture policy that protects Montana farmers and ranchers from unfair practices of multinational agricultural corporations; a constitutional amendment to undo Citizen’s United; Second Amendment rights, supporting background checks but generally opposing any restrictions on gun ownership; reproductive rights and family planning support; investments in education, particularly for rural and Native American interests, and job training and apprenticeships; lowering prescription drug prices; affordable health care, especially access to it in Montana’s expansive rural areas; Native American sovereignty; border security given Montana’s 540-mile Canadian border; modernization of America’s ICBM fleet, given the large military presence in Montana; keeping public lands public to promote Montana’s outdoor recreation industry; protecting areas outside of Yellowstone from industrial mining; equal pay for equal work; and, protecting Medicare and Social Security.

 

Senate Committees: Appropriations, and chairs the Defense Appropriations Subcommittee; Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs; Commerce, Science, and Transportation; Indian Affairs; Veterans. Tester is a member of the Senate Transparency Caucus, which promotes government accountability and transparency.

 

Endorsements: American Israeli PAC; League of Conservation Voters; Planned Parenthood; End Citizen’s United; Feminist Majority PAC. 

 

The Opposition: Retired Navy SEAL Tim Sheehy is supported by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, but Montana’s 2nd District representative Matt Rosendale, a member of the House Freedom Caucus, has support from Trump-oriented Montanans who resent the outsider influence behind Sheehy. It is noteworthy that the Republican state supermajorities have passed a law calling for a two-tier voting system–only for the 2024 Senatorial election–in which a runoff is required if the leading candidate on Election Day does not have more than 50% of the vote. Their motivation is an assumption that Libertarian voters, if there is a Libertarian candidate on the ballot, will vote Republican in the second round.

 

The Odds: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate it as a toss-up.

 

Donations by check can be written to Montanans for Tester and mailed to:

 

Montanans for Tester

PO Box 1135

Helena, MT

59624-9947

 

Donations can be made via www.jontester.com.

Nevada: Jacky Rosen

Jacky Rosen was first elected to the Senate in 2018. She received 50.4% of the vote and defeated her Republican opponent by 5%.  She is a moderate Democrat competing in a purple state that gave Biden a +2% plurality in 2020. 

 

Rosen supports Bipartisanship; reproductive rights; trade unions; affordable child care; paid family leave; equal pay for equal work; middle class tax cuts; greater spending on education, particularly for spending on STEM and vocational training; cyber security; immigration reform paired with greater border security; preserving public lands in Nevada; and protections for the solar industry in Nevada.

 

Senate Committees: Armed Services; Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; Commerce, Science, and Transportation; and, Small Business and Entrepreneurship.  Rosen is the Chair of the Tourism, Trade, and Export Promotion Subcommittee.

 

Endorsements: End Citizen’s United, Emily’s List, League of Conservation Voters, Planned Parenthood, and the American Israeli PAC.

 

The Opposition: While there are 10 announced Republican candidates and another 8 considering running, Sam Brown, a former US Army captain who served in Afghanistan, is endorsed by the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Jim Marchant, loser in the 2022 secretary of state race and a 2020 presidential “election denier,” has also entered the race. The primary is June 11, and Rosen has a Democratic challenger in Troy Walker, who places highest priority on economic growth. 

 

The Odds: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race as leaning Democratic.

 

Donations by check can be written to “Rosen for Nevada” and mailed to:

 

Rosen for Nevada

PO Box 46110

Las Vegas, NV

89114

 

Donations can be made via www.rosenfornevada.com.

Ohio: Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown is seeking his fourth term in the Senate in a state that has been R+8 in recent years.  His success stems from championing issues that are important to Ohio’s blue-collar workers.  For example, he is addressing perverse tax incentives that shift auto supply chain jobs overseas.  His personal popularity in Ohio allows him to buck the Republican tide there – since 2010 Brown and Obama are the only Democrats that won a statewide race.

 

Brown supports the return of manufacturing jobs to the U.S. and Ohio in particular; protecting jobs via better trade deals (he opposed the original NAFTA and CAFTA and worked to improve an updated NAFTA during the Trump years); affordable health care; lower prescription drug prices; U.S. manufactured alternative energy sources; lowering prescription drug prices; and, quality affordable health care for all.

 

Senate Committees: Chair of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee and was a key player in forming the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau.  He worked to strengthen the safety net for farmers while on the Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee.  He also served on the Veterans Affairs Committee.

 

Endorsements: End Citizen’s United, Feminist Majority PAC, League of Conservation Voters, Planned Parenthood, and the AFL-CIO.

 

The Opposition: Trump-backed car dealer Bernie Moreno is the Republican candidate.  There is also a pro-Trump Veterans Against Treason candidate, Thomas Trefts, who may take away some votes from the ultimate Republican nominee.

 

The Odds: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race as a toss-up.   Recent polls give Brown a slight lead. 

 

Donations by check can be written to “Friends of Sherrod Brown” and mailed to:

 

Friends of Sherrod Brown

3867 West Market St

Suite 289

Akron, OH

44333

 

Donations can be made via www.sherrodbrown.com. 

Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin

Tammy Baldwin is an openly gay two-term incumbent who won with 55.4% of the vote in 2018.  She is seeking re-election in a state with its last two presidential votes decided by less than 1% of the vote.

 

Baldwin supports health care as a human right; lowering prescription drug prices; expanding veteran’s health care; reproductive rights; LGBTQ+ rights; and, stimulating manufacturing in the United States.

 

Senate Committees: Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions; Commerce, Science, and Transportation; Appropriations.

 

Endorsements: IBEW, AFL-CIO, Emily’s List, League of Conservation Voters, Planned Parenthood, and NARAL.

 

The Opposition: There are four Republicans presently running against Baldwin, though they lack name recognition and significant funding. Businessman Eric Hovde has the most buzz and seeming support from GOP national leaders. The primary is August 13. A Libertarian candidate will also be on the ballot along with two other nonaffiliated candidates. 

 

The Odds: Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the race as leaning Democratic.

 

Donations by check can be written to "Tammy Baldwin for Senate" and mailed to:

 

Tammy Baldwin for Senate

PO BOX 696

Madison, WI

53701

 

Contributions can be made via www.tammybaldwin.com.

The following sources were used in the candidate selection process: Force Multiplier, The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, other pollsters, Daily KOS Elections emails, Emily's List, Swing Left, Vote Vets, Vote Smart, Wikipedia, Ballotpedia, and many Google searches related to the races and the candidates. 


Please contact the subcommittee chair, Mike Potishnak (mpot@charter.net), if you have any questions or comments.