Taking Back the House and
Taking Back the House and
Keeping the Senate
Keeping the Senate
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Thank you to our State and National Issues Subcommittee for researching and compiling this important resource for the 2024 elections.
This fourth edition of "Taking Back the House and Keeping the Senate" provides updated information about targeted incumbent Senate races, but the membership is unchanged (MT, NV, OH, and WI).
MI-8 was added to the targeted incumbent House list because polls indicate a tight race. The other races targeted received updated information (CO-8, OH-13, MI-7, NC-1, PA-7, PA-8, WA-3, NM-2).
House races targeted to expand House Democratic control were updated (CA-13, CA-22, CA-27, NY-4, NY-17, NY-19, OR-5).
There are no Senate races targeted for expanding the Senate majority, though flipping Texas and Florida are now plausible long shots.
The Watch List races from the third edition received final evaluation. CO-3 is dropped because of a likely loss, while AZ Senate, MI Senate, and NY-22 were dropped because of likely victories. MI-8 was added to the list of key Democratic incumbent races.
It’s clear we need to maximize our financial and activist contributions for the 2024 election cycle and to do so efficiently. This document will be revised over time as the November 2024 election approaches and conditions change.
Maintaining a majority in the US Senate will be particularly challenging because many incumbent Democrats (23) and relatively few incumbent Republicans (11) are up for reelection in 2024. Three Democratic senators are up for reelection in GOP strongholds (MT, OH, and WV) and four in battleground states (AZ, MI, PA, and WI). Given the lunacy factor surrounding Trump-submissive House incumbents, taking back the House is a realistic goal if Democrats stay unified, get out the vote, and run solid campaigns.
The simplest way to contribute is to donate to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). However, those donations will be spread among Democratic candidates, who may win or lose by relatively wide margins. An alternative is to try to help those candidates in close contests in the hope that our targeted assistance will push them "over the top." In addition to identifying those closely contested Senate and House races, information about the candidates' positions on key issues is provided. The intent is to allow the donor to further target assistance to those candidates who share their values. For example, one may prefer to contribute more to progressive than centrist candidates. Please contribute (and/or volunteer) as best you can, as the urgency is high.
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The following sources were used in the candidate selection process: Force Multiplier, The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, other pollsters, Daily KOS Elections emails, Emily's List, Swing Left, Vote Vets, Vote Smart, Wikipedia, Ballotpedia, and many Google searches related to the races and the candidates.
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